Playoffs Guaranteed Minimum - Good Friday

killerandflash said:

cantersaddick said:

Think Stockport will get 3rd now and us and Wycombe will be 4th/5th.

Which might be a benefit for us. I'd rather face Stockport at Wembley than in a 2 legged semi 

Stockport v Wycombe last game of the season could make it interesting

If I could pick a team to play in the first round of the play offs it would be Wycombe. 

Yeah, get Wycombe in the playoffs, and then Stockport on the expenses of Wembley 

Rothko said:

Yeah, get Wycombe in the playoffs, and then Stockport on the expenses of Wembley 

Wycombe will fold in the semis whoever they play.

ElfsborgAddick said:

Rothko said:

Yeah, get Wycombe in the playoffs, and then Stockport on the expenses of Wembley 

Wycombe will fold in the semis whoever they play.

Yep. Very difficult to raise yourself again when you've been fighting for second all season. Think they'll go into the play offs with a feeling of failure.

I would say we're too far away from automatics now yes.

But all this chat of home Vs away second leg, which teams we'd rather avoid etc seems pointless.

We can beat any team in this division home or away on our day. We just have to keep momentum from here to the end of the season.

Great day for Wrexham. They’re up, surely. I agree with the consensus on here. If it’s us and Wycombe in 4th/5th I’d be very confident and I don’t think they would be. If Stockport finish 3rd I think they’ll potentially have a tougher game against Reading or Bolton. 

cafc_se7 said:

Such a strange league, I still think we can catch Wrexham and I still think we can drop out of the playoffs altogether. There are still plenty of twists and turns! 

More then ever now though, we will need to beat both Wycombe and Wrexham to have any chance! 

Neither of those things will happen. 

Callumcafc said:

Callumcafc said:

Callumcafc said:

oohaahmortimer said:

So,our chances of top 6 went from 93% to 89% according to OPTA

To steal your format, it went from

Top two 10%
3rd-6th 85%
7th-12th 5%

To

Top two 3%
3rd-6th 86%
7th-12th 11%

To

Top two 5%
3rd-6th 93.5%

7th-12th 1.5%

last night

Post Lincoln (H), Opta’s calculator says

Top two 2.5%

Playoffs 95%
Out altogether 2.5%

Top two
Birmingham 100%

charlton_hero said:

I don't think we have enough about us to go up this year imo. I had a quiet confidence in the Bowyer season that I don't have this time around. Just a gut feeling, I hope I'm wrong. It's been a largely enjoyable season though, and it's been a step up on the last, whatever happens.

I love that football is so much about opinions. I'm more confident of this side going up in the play offs than I was with the Bowyer side at the time (especially the final, as was certain Sunderland would get there long-waited revenge for 98). 

cantersaddick said:

killerandflash said:

cantersaddick said:

Think Stockport will get 3rd now and us and Wycombe will be 4th/5th.

Which might be a benefit for us. I'd rather face Stockport at Wembley than in a 2 legged semi 

Agreed. 

I am a little nervous now though. Our away form had been patchy and unconvincing even since our turnaround. Lots of scraped wins and unconvincing performances. 

We kept going even with a few injuries, now they seem to be catching up with us and we just don't have the depth left in key positions. Still confident we will get in the playoffs but not confident we will be in form going into them.

I'm not sure where this panic is coming from? We've lost 3 of our last 24 league games and 1 of those was away at Birmingham who beat everyone. In the form table over the last 10, 15, 20, 25 games we're second in all to Birmingham.

Despite not winning yesterday, we did well to battle back from 2 down and probably should've won it, and we were missing 2-3 of our best players. Lincoln are not a bad side either, they only lost narrowly 1-0 away at Wycombe and Birmingham in the last month.

The next 2 games are winnable and if we win both then the play offs will be pretty much guaranteed. 

shine166 said:

Chris_from_Sidcup said:

cantersaddick said:

killerandflash said:

cantersaddick said:

Think Stockport will get 3rd now and us and Wycombe will be 4th/5th.

Which might be a benefit for us. I'd rather face Stockport at Wembley than in a 2 legged semi 

Agreed. 

I am a little nervous now though. Our away form had been patchy and unconvincing even since our turnaround. Lots of scraped wins and unconvincing performances. 

We kept going even with a few injuries, now they seem to be catching up with us and we just don't have the depth left in key positions. Still confident we will get in the playoffs but not confident we will be in form going into them.

I'm not sure where this panic is coming from? We've lost 3 of our last 24 league games and 1 of those was away at Birmingham who beat everyone. In the form table over the last 10, 15, 20, 25 games we're second in all to Birmingham.

Despite not winning yesterday, we did well to battle back from 2 down and probably should've won it, and we were missing 2-3 of our best players. Lincoln are not a bad side either, they only lost narrowly 1-0 away at Wycombe and Birmingham in the last month.

The next 2 games are winnable and if we win both then the play offs will be pretty much guaranteed. 

After Tuesday we could be 5 ahead with 5 games remaining. As it stands we need 10 points for anything to be guaranteed.

I said 'pretty much' guaranteed, not mathematically.

If we win the next 2 that takes us to 79 points and we have a much better goal difference than Bolton and Reading. Bolton would need 4 wins and 2 draws to overtake us, Reading would need 5 wins. And this isn't even taking into account the points we might get from our last 3 games.

Plus 4 of Reading's last 6 games are away, and their away record is terrible (4 wins all season).

Chris_from_Sidcup said:

shine166 said:

Chris_from_Sidcup said:

cantersaddick said:

killerandflash said:

cantersaddick said:

Think Stockport will get 3rd now and us and Wycombe will be 4th/5th.

Which might be a benefit for us. I'd rather face Stockport at Wembley than in a 2 legged semi 

Agreed. 

I am a little nervous now though. Our away form had been patchy and unconvincing even since our turnaround. Lots of scraped wins and unconvincing performances. 

We kept going even with a few injuries, now they seem to be catching up with us and we just don't have the depth left in key positions. Still confident we will get in the playoffs but not confident we will be in form going into them.

I'm not sure where this panic is coming from? We've lost 3 of our last 24 league games and 1 of those was away at Birmingham who beat everyone. In the form table over the last 10, 15, 20, 25 games we're second in all to Birmingham.

Despite not winning yesterday, we did well to battle back from 2 down and probably should've won it, and we were missing 2-3 of our best players. Lincoln are not a bad side either, they only lost narrowly 1-0 away at Wycombe and Birmingham in the last month.

The next 2 games are winnable and if we win both then the play offs will be pretty much guaranteed. 

After Tuesday we could be 5 ahead with 5 games remaining. As it stands we need 10 points for anything to be guaranteed.

I said 'pretty much' guaranteed, not mathematically.

If we win the next 2 that takes us to 79 points and we have a much better goal difference than Bolton and Reading. Bolton would need 4 wins and 2 draws to overtake us, Reading would need 5 wins. And this isn't even taking into account the points we might get from our last 3 games.

Plus 4 of Reading's last 6 games are away, and their away record is terrible (4 wins all season).

Fair enough, although winning 3 of the 5 is pretty much guaranteed but still not. 

DOUCHER said:

Nobody seems interested in the fact stockports captain is out injured for the season - i think this is crucial because to me, a stockport away fixture in the semis is where we could quite easily lose the play offs. Their pitch and style doesn't suit us and i know they won yesterday but if their main string puller is missing, that will tell in the play offs   

I'm not falling into that trap with Stockport again. Most people (myself included) thought they would fall away once Louie Barry was recalled from his loan and yet here they are.

As you say they won comfortably away without Bate yesterday, and whilst it's obviously a blow to lose him, i think Challinor is a very good manager and he'll find a way for them to cope without him.