How Many points for Championship Survival? and How do we get them?

Pompey just lost V Derby. They looked quite good but poor in the final 3rd. Still got a game in hand. Have to think they will survive?

With ultra negative glasses, we will draw at home to Bristol City, PNE and Hull. Then a draw away to Sheffield W. That gives us 4 points and takes us to 52, which is enough.
If just one of those games turns into a win (51 points), it's even easier. Just need one draw of the other three games listed above.
And I've still accounted for us to lose all four games vs Norwich and Ipswich at home + Watford and Swansea away.

Chris_from_Sidcup said:

CharltonManor1966 said:

Chris_from_Sidcup said:

mid_life_crisis said:

Preston are now a shorter price than us with the bookies to go down. On a run of 2 points from the past 7 games.

Only 6 points from 12 games since New Year's Day. At that point they were 4th, just 3 points off 2nd. Truly horrendous run of form and they'd be right in it had they not started the season well.

They won't go down though, just 1 win and they'll be safe.

And so would we be TBF........

I disagree. Apart from the spell in November/early December when we lost 5 on the spin we've consistently picked up points and ticked along nicely. If you take any block of games (5/10/15/20 etc) in the form table we're not even close to the bottom 3.

We haven't really had a serious spell of prolonged bad form like Preston are on now and like West brom/Leicester have been on in 2026.

Exactly our worse spell this season from 8 games is 4 points. That coincided with playing the best 3 teams in the league at the time, 2 playoff challenging teams, and the most inform team in the league at the time. Whilst also having a defensive injury crisis. 

CAFC_boi said:

Just seen an article say we have the lowest wage bill in the league with Kaminski our highest earner by far on £20k a week. 

Aside from the daylight robbery by Kaminski, just shows again what an incredible job Nathan Jones is doing on a relative shoestring. 

Leicester by comparison have the highest and look how that is working out … 

I think ours is probably fairly similar to Portsmouth and Oxford but perhaps slightly less. However surely we don't have a lower wage bill than Sheffield Wednesday? 

CharltonManor1966 said:

Pompey just lost V Derby. They looked quite good but poor in the final 3rd. Still got a game in hand. Have to think they will survive?

I think they probably will stay up but the game in hand is vs Ipswich so very tough

This appears to be a fairly decent guess on the budgets per team. Sheff Wed probably lower than our OPEX budget now, meaning we are 3rd bottom. 

BalladMan said:

This appears to be a fairly decent guess on the budgets per team. Sheff Wed probably lower than our OPEX budget now, meaning we are 3rd bottom. 

https://www.reddit.com/r/Championship/s/Eur4K62Rs8

That’s from the 23/24 season. 

Crispywood said:

CAFC_boi said:

Just seen an article say we have the lowest wage bill in the league with Kaminski our highest earner by far on £20k a week. 

Aside from the daylight robbery by Kaminski, just shows again what an incredible job Nathan Jones is doing on a relative shoestring. 

Leicester by comparison have the highest and look how that is working out … 

Load of waffle that article Sheffield Wednesday couldn’t even pay their first team players and Oxford will have a minimal budget after putting everything into their stadium. Rodwell said we had the 3rd lowest budget so I’d be inclined to believe that 

Did Rodwell say we had the 3rd lowest player budget, is that different to wage bill?

Crispywood said:

SouthLincsAddick said:

Crispywood said:

CAFC_boi said:

Just seen an article say we have the lowest wage bill in the league with Kaminski our highest earner by far on £20k a week. 

Aside from the daylight robbery by Kaminski, just shows again what an incredible job Nathan Jones is doing on a relative shoestring. 

Leicester by comparison have the highest and look how that is working out … 

Load of waffle that article Sheffield Wednesday couldn’t even pay their first team players and Oxford will have a minimal budget after putting everything into their stadium. Rodwell said we had the 3rd lowest budget so I’d be inclined to believe that 

Did Rodwell say we had the 3rd lowest player budget, is that different to wage bill?

No I’m guessing that meant wage bill because realistically we paid a pretty penny so it’s either wage bill or overall investment in their specific squad 

It’s must be wage bill (or at least OPEX costs) as we were mid table for spending fees (one off costs) in the summer. 

Just checked Chicago Addicks notes from the original fans meeting and it is overall player budget that is 3rd worst, not just wages. While initial transfer fees in the summer looked impressive, they are split over the duration of the contracts. It would also indicate our wages must be pretty low to accommodate those fees and still have the 3rd worst budget.

https://chicagoaddick.com/2026/01/22/a-few-notes-from-tonights-fan-meeting/#:~:text=We%2C%20as%20Charlton%20fans%2C%20like,hell%20that%20was%20League%20One.

Crispywood said:

Have we done that to try and loophole the FFP regulations then of trying to avoid losses more than 39M over 3 years? 

The amortisation? It's standard practice for that reason, of course it just means your losses are spread over the three years. Any incoming fees won't be amortised though, regardless of when we receive the money

fenaddick said:

Crispywood said:

Have we done that to try and loophole the FFP regulations then of trying to avoid losses more than 39M over 3 years? 

The amortisation? It's standard practice for that reason, of course it just means your losses are spread over the three years. Any incoming fees won't be amortised though, regardless of when we receive the money

I presume incoming fees will be offset with any remaining book value on a players amortisation? 

Good that only 1 of the bottom 4 (Leicester) gained on us, at that was only by a point. 

It seems its now WBA's turn to win a couple of games & move out of the relegation zone, after both Pompey & Oxford did it in recent weeks - although those 2 both lost today thus stalling their escape plans.

Must be Leicester's turn next. Hopefully by then we will be safe, but after today I will start getting worried if we haven't won another game by the time we come to play Sheff Wed. 

I'll be happy when we get to 52 points. Ecstatic when we reach 54.

JustFloydRoad said:

golfaddick said:

Good that only 1 of the bottom 4 (Leicester) gained on us, at that was only by a point. 

It seems its now WBA's turn to win a couple of games & move out of the relegation zone, after both Pompey & Oxford did it in recent weeks - although those 2 both lost today thus stalling their escape plans.

Must be Leicester's turn next. Hopefully by then we will be safe, but after today I will start getting worried if we haven't won another game by the time we come to play Sheff Wed. 

I'll be happy when we get to 52 points. Ecstatic when we reach 54.

We are in what I would call the Dead Duck end of the season (nothing to play for) now.

That said (airing on caution's side) everyone said Portsmouth were safe, now they are only one point from safety with the worst (apart from Sheffield Wednesday oc) goal difference in the league with that 6-1 defeat.

Did they?!

Watford odds are strange