Official Grand National 2014 Thread
Comments
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Went with Paddy Power, only 5 places but allowed me £40 of bets with a £20 stake, covered the Mrs's choice too.
Cheers as always PM, brilliant thread and doubles the interest in the GN for me. Awesome to see the work that goes in regardless of the outcome (but fingers crossed, eh?).0 -
Cheers NLA, glad you enjoy my ramblings. Sounds like you've earned a nice relaxing afternoon.......hopefully a profitable one.nth london addick said:Pm
Win or lose mate your thread gives me a week of really enjoyable reading
I have done my ten pound ew on 6 of your gee gees and I thank you in advance as it's no more than I would normally spend on GN day
I have also done a lucky 15 , 30p ew and 50p win Acca
with
Oscar hoof
Trifollum
Atfisherscross
Unioneste
Plus
50p reverse forecast with £1 win doubles
Sea lord
Lac Fontana
Border success
Next sensation
Salubrious
Whisper
Victor Hugo
Carruthers
Just to make the most of the whole day
Just got in from me KP runs and cracked open the ciders feet up after getting all the browny points in the world for doing all the night feeds and Kipping downstairs with big Dec so the good lady can rest
Seafood out and cider in glass
Love GN day
Wish I could relax ;o)
All the best.0 -
Told ya two winners that don't count as I had them as forecasts
Typical0 -
Cheers Neil, everything crossed.......well, almost everything.North Lower Neil said:Went with Paddy Power, only 5 places but allowed me £40 of bets with a £20 stake, covered the Mrs's choice too.
Cheers as always PM, brilliant thread and doubles the interest in the GN for me. Awesome to see the work that goes in regardless of the outcome (but fingers crossed, eh?).1 -
Many thanks for the fascinating and interesting thread. Have done five of your tips, most of the long odds ones!
Hope everyone makes a profit.0 -
Put a 5er on la quinto, with a nice 200 return, then covered my arse putting 10 50p bets on other horses to win. Got a 1/4 chance of gettin anything back!0
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Cracking work as always peanut. Done tenner each way on
T43
Dude
Mountainous
Shakalakaboomboom
The Package
Chance du Roy
Not forgetting Rose of the Moon in the sweepstake at work!
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That was a fine win in the novice chase by Balder Succes but a 0.6s faster than standard time, albeit on the Mildmay course, does suggest that the ground generally isn't getting any slower and is definitely riding Good. They have watered the GN course but, unless the forecast showers arrive, meaningfully and soon, I'm going to have to bite the bullet and call it Good ground and add The Package as a 6th to my slip.
Although on Good the model rates The Package, Shakalakaboomboom and Long Run as equal place chances (at least 15L behind the top 3) and Mountainous and 2 others another 5L behind them, I can't get away from the nagging doubt over Shaka's fitness. As I've said before, The Package's profile noses just ahead of the other 2 by virtue of a borderline extra positive stat (based on his 14.5L 4th in the Hennessy behind Bobs Worth) so he gets the nod as the model's 4th selection and best place candidate.
Does mean that with 6 running for me a single place won't be enough to breakeven but c'est la vie.
My fault for misjudging the likely going.
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Yeah,hang your head in shame peanut, appalling lack of effort on your part!PeanutsMolloy said:
My fault for misjudging the likely going.4 -
They'll probably all go before Bechers anyway....1
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Hang on, that Grade 1 stayers hurdle was a bit slower - I made it 6 secs slower than the 3m novice hurdle yesterday. Didn't appear to dawdle. What's occurring?0
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Another winner in a forecast pmsfl
AP cut across salubrious there with two to go and IMO seriously impeded him knocked him right out of stride0 -
Does anyone have a stream for this?
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Channel 40
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I'm abroad, thanks anyway.0
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Put a bet on with PP and watch the stream from phone1
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Well, time's come to bite the bullet.
Those last two races have been slightly slower than comparable races yesterday so, probably, that Balder Succes win in a fast time was indeed pretty special and the ground, at least on the Mildmay and hurdles course, is broadly similar to yesterday.
Not that that necessarily has any bearing on the price of fish or, more to the point, the going on the GN course.
All this prevarication about whether it is riding Good or Easy side of Good about is, perversely, just for the place runners on the slip but they can make a big difference to returns.
With no umbrellas in sight, I'm going to have to cover the bases and go to 6 selections (all e/w) for the 2014 GN:
Win candidates: T43 / Monbeg Dude / Chance Du Roy
Place candidates: Shakalakaboomboom / Mountainous / The Package
There we have it. Good luck boys and girls, whether you've followed my model's selections or some of them or none at all.
If you have followed them, cheers for the vote of confidence and many apologies in advance if this is that long-awaited blank.
In any event, very much hope all horse and jocks return safe and sound.
All the best.
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Stop worrying peanut you just enjoy this years work fella1
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Will do Chief, gonna grab a beer.nth london addick said:Stop worrying peanut you just enjoy this years work fella
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Just placed a couple of reverse forecasts with a mix of t43/monbeg and chance... Good luck everyone !0
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Thanks guys, also here https://www.filmon.com/tv/channel-40
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Hadn't put The Package, but bottled it and put a couple of quid on each way too, would have kicked myself if it came in!!0
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Iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiits shhhhhowtimeeeeee0
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False start0
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Addick Addict said:
Let's hope there's not the usual three or false starts then because you might miss the end of the race.PeanutsMolloy said:
I won't need to tbh AA..............she who must be obeyed will have ejected me from the house by 4.30pm.Addick Addict said:And if nothing places I suggest that you go ex-directory ;-)
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One false start down. Let me know if you want me to give you a live commentary for the finish.0 -
Burton XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXx0
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Mountainous gone0
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T43 gone0
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T43 gone.0