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The General Election - June 8th 2017

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  • I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.

    Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.

    Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?

    Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".

    It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.
  • colthe3rd said:

    Rob7Lee said:

    Can't see Labour throwing away a 2-0 lead

    colthe3rd said:

    Rob7Lee said:

    First result in, exit poll was way out........ not such a large Labour majority as they expected.

    You're desperate to not believe the exit poll. Did you put your fingers in your ears when they explained the reason behind the Newcastle forecast?
    I don't believe the exit poll yet no, 30k people it's based on isn't it? A quarter of the votes are postal.....
    image

    Yeah sod those mathematicians, 30k is too few, what the hell do they know?
    I can see this one being similar to 1992.
  • Going to sleep now in hope of waking up in a few hours. Prediction for morning is exit poll has undercooked the Conservative vote, and Conservatives will just get there, or fall marginally short (but helped by DUP)
  • The woman on bbc now is tidy!
  • Sunderland Central

    IND 305
    LAB 25056
    GRN 705
    LD 1777
    UKIP 2209
    CON 15059
  • The woman on bbc now is tidy!

    David Dimbleby?
  • colthe3rd said:

    Canters, I missed your edit. I was a Data Analyst previously but moved into something where I could be a bit more accurate with numbers. ;-)

    Haha you have a point there. There's a lot of 'rounding errors' involved with it.
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  • 3-0 but again exit polls say should be better.
  • LuckyReds said:

    I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.

    Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.

    Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?

    Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".

    It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.

    Your theory would hold up except Vote Leave's campaign was profoundly negative and xenophobic, the only positive point they had was the £350m for the NHS.
  • Fiiish said:

    Diane Abbott's exit poll is now in...

    LAB: 4032
    CON: 4
    LIBDEM: 0.333333...
    GREEN: 102
    UKIP: Minus 4 million
    SNP: 8^-4

    Welcome back to the Tories?
  • Fiiish said:

    We are getting reports that Labour have scored a third goal at Sunderland, we go to Chris Kamara for the report:

    image

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdu6MLcuHwc
  • Huskaris said:

    Fiiish said:

    Diane Abbott's exit poll is now in...

    LAB: 4032
    CON: 4
    LIBDEM: 0.333333...
    GREEN: 102
    UKIP: Minus 4 million
    SNP: 8^-4

    Welcome back to the Tories?
    Mate polls are closed which means it's nothing but shit-posts for now.
  • 3-0 but again exit polls say should be better.

    Very true
  • At this point seems like the exit polls might have got it slightly wrong? On a sample size of 3 though Vs the exit poll 30,000!
  • 3-0 but again exit polls say should be better.

    Swing towards Conservative in Sunderland, Labour in Newcastle. It's down to the leave vote apparently.....

    i think the postal vote will be the killer for this Poll, did they Poll Scotland, or did I miss hear that?
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  • Fiiish said:

    LuckyReds said:

    I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.

    Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.

    Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?

    Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".

    It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.

    Your theory would hold up except Vote Leave's campaign was profoundly negative and xenophobic, the only positive point they had was the £350m for the NHS.
    Which was a lie!
  • They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.

    Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.
  • colthe3rd said:

    Canters, I missed your edit. I was a Data Analyst previously but moved into something where I could be a bit more accurate with numbers. ;-)

    Haha you have a point there. There's a lot of 'rounding errors' involved with it.
    Try working with Accountants, telling you a 50k difference is fine leaves me banging my head off the table.
  • Tories seem to be chomping into the UKIP vote but Labour gaining votes due to high turnout.
  • edited June 2017

    Both of these safe Labour seats have been worse for Labour and better for the Tories than the exit poll.

    And a third. Early signs showing the exit poll appearing to be a little wrong in this instance.
  • The latest result complicates things.
  • They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.

    Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.

    They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........
  • Rob7Lee said:

    They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.

    Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.

    They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........
    You make a good point. Best give them a call to point out their massive oversight.
This discussion has been closed.

Roland Out Forever!