I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.
Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.
Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?
Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".
It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.
Your theory would hold up except Vote Leave's campaign was profoundly negative and xenophobic, the only positive point they had was the £350m for the NHS.
Depends, there were 3 different Leave campaigns as far as I remember.
It's not really how I remember the coverage being, albeit I remember Farage's splinter campaign being quite pessimistic and xenophobic.
They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.
Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.
They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........
You make a good point. Best give them a call to point out their massive oversight.
Didn't say they had made an oversight did I?
What wager we having on it being wrong if you are so sure it's spot on? All for charity of course.
They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.
Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.
They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........
You make a good point. Best give them a call to point out their massive oversight.
Didn't say they had made an oversight did I?
What wager we having on it being wrong if you are so sure it's spot on? All for charity of course.
I'll wager that their prediction for Tories is within 100 seats.
Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?
Going to bed now - expect to wake up in either a socialist utopia or a right wing horror story. Probably it will just be Friday and the trains will be shite as normal.
Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?
Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?
Newcastle swung to Labour as well, just not as much as expected.
The only difference they drew between Newcastle and Sunderland was remain and leave voters...
Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?
Going to bed now - expect to wake up in either a socialist utopia or a right wing horror story. Probably it will just be Friday and the trains will be shite as normal.
Is your missus planning on secretly abducting you to either Sweden or the USA overnight?
Of course things get interesting (relative term) as soon as I switch the telly off.
I noticed that in the north east Ukip vote went to Conservatives about 2:1. I don't know what, if anything, a trend like that would mean other than a irritatingly frequent use of the portmanteau "RedKip."
Comments
LAB 28127
GRN 755
CON 8866
UKIP 1315
LD 2574
There's been a fourth goal at Newcastle, but for who?
GRN 858
LAB 21096
UKIP 1564
CON 29431
LD 1962
54% CON, 38% LAB
+3% CON, +11% LAB
3.7% from CON to LAB
It's not really how I remember the coverage being, albeit I remember Farage's splinter campaign being quite pessimistic and xenophobic.
UKIP vote going to Labour.
What wager we having on it being wrong if you are so sure it's spot on? All for charity of course.
The only difference they drew between Newcastle and Sunderland was remain and leave voters...
I noticed that in the north east Ukip vote went to Conservatives about 2:1. I don't know what, if anything, a trend like that would mean other than a irritatingly frequent use of the portmanteau "RedKip."