Get the win tomorrow, and the pressure is on Huddersfield, seeing that they have to play West Brom and Millwall and have a worse GD than we do. On 48 points they could easily be caught by Luton and Wigan
I think this could be right.
After tomorrow night, it's not outrageous to think that both Huddersfield and Birmingham may not get another point.
The theory of sequences says that we will draw with Birmingham, but maybe it's time for Hemed to scuff one?
Presuming Barnsley get nothing at Leeds on Thursday, 1 more win for us and a Hull/Luton draw on Saturday and we are basically safe barring a big goal difference change. Lets hope we can get at least something tomorrow night.
I really think winning tomorrow keeps us up. If the Stoke result goes our way as well then we go above Stoke, Birmingham and Huddersfield.
Even though the points gaps between the teams will still be ridiculouslly tight, the more teams below us the better. The odds of them all leapfrogging us again in the final 2 games is slim
The highest Hull OR Luton can get is 51 which puts the other on 48 max. They could split the profit at 49 each.
Wigan’s highest point total is 51, but if we beat them we’ll finish above them.
Barnsley, having not played tonight, could still in theory make it to 52. With their rotten run in, I’m praying they’re adrift but mathematically speaking can’t discount them.
So 6 and 7’ depending on Wigan’s deduction. Hopefully dropping to 6’ tomorrow with a Barnsley loss, of which we’ll pick 3 up from a glorious 1-0 win over Brum.
Sorry if on another thread. But if Barnsley lose to Leeds Thursday, even if we lose to Birmingham it matters not. Beat Wigan Saturday and we stay up. We'll be a net 4 points clear of Wigan, hull and Luton could only get a maximum of 49 points if they draw and if one wins only 48 points for the other. Plus we have a far superior goal average to both. And Barnsley could only get 49 points, and we have a much better goal average. So come on Leeds! Rather we win tomorrow of course as well!
Sorry if on another thread. But if Barnsley lose to Leeds Thursday, even if we lose to Birmingham it matters not. Beat Wigan Saturday and we stay up. We'll be a net 4 points clear of Wigan, hull and Luton could only get a maximum of 49 points if they draw and if one wins only 48 points for the other. Plus we have a far superior goal average to both. And Barnsley could only get 49 points, and we have a much better goal average. So come on Leeds! Rather we win tomorrow of course as well!
Only problem with that is when we capitulate 17-0 to Leeds on the last game of the season and drift into third from bottom by a goal difference of 1...
I kid but yes this does bring some comfort. I fancy our chances over Birmingham more than Wigan though...
Comments
After tomorrow night, it's not outrageous to think that both Huddersfield and Birmingham may not get another point.
The theory of sequences says that we will draw with Birmingham, but maybe it's time for Hemed to scuff one?
Even though the points gaps between the teams will still be ridiculouslly tight, the more teams below us the better. The odds of them all leapfrogging us again in the final 2 games is slim
Rather we win tomorrow of course as well!
I kid but yes this does bring some comfort. I fancy our chances over Birmingham more than Wigan though...
However, Birmingham's sequence of results is so poor it is ripe for them to get the 3 points and put massive pressure on a win against Wigan.
My money says we get a point and the nerves continue.
Birmingham - 0 wins in 11, 1 home win in 14, conceded 3 goals in each of their last 5 home games.
Wigan - 1 defeat in 13 (at Brentford), 8 wins in 11, 10 clean sheets in 11 games.
As the game at Birmingham kicks off, a reminder that R=6 and R'=7.
R'=6.
Nothing else to say.
(R & R' are two different things, though the value of each is now the same)
I guess if we'd chosen X and Y, someone might have said "why use different letters for the same thing?"
Not you, of course ... but someone.