Other than a (perceived) good transfer window, we’ve given punters and bookies nothing to indicate we’ll be challenging, not a single thing so far that’s the reality.
This is very true. But, 80/1 quarter odds first 3 so 20/1 for the place. Bolton 6 points ahead of us are 4/1 favs, Derby 3pts ahead are 6/1. On that basis I do believe that 80/1 is too big, a worth a small interest. As is the 28/1 to win the playoffs. If we make the top 6 be easy to lay some of this off.
I know we will get the bet £20 lose £20 comments. But, a pro gambler will tell you, when the market is wrong and value exists then have a bet.
Other than a (perceived) good transfer window, we’ve given punters and bookies nothing to indicate we’ll be challenging, not a single thing so far that’s the reality.
This is very true. But, 80/1 quarter odds first 3 so 20/1 for the place. Bolton 6 points ahead of us are 4/1 favs, Derby 3pts ahead are 6/1. On that basis I do believe that 80/1 is too big, a worth a small interest. As is the 28/1 to win the playoffs. If we make the top 6 be easy to lay some of this off.
Betting is all about having fun and going with your gut, if it feels too long go for it mate!
Skybet just increased the odds of us finishing in the top half to 5/4. After the Orient win we were 1/5 on. Even with our terrible start we are only 3 points off 11th. Hard to imagine we are not better than at least half of these league 1 sides.
We have been border line top half for 2/3 seasons now. Don't think 5/4 would tempt me sadly albeit I would view it as more likely than not. Would prefer at this stage 2/1 odds on accy of Gills top 7; Leeds top 6; Luton bottom 3 and Barnsley top half all of which I see as pretty much certainties.
If anybody used the betfair exchange to place a bet on the Charlton game between 4:14-4:39 ish and are wondering where their money is - every bet in that timeframe was voided because they didn't suspend the betting after the equaliser. Wankers.
Bobs lot have been running an offer for a few weeks whereby if you stake £10 (at odds of 1.2 or higher) on a prominent premiership game of their choosing, they will give you £2 in bet credits for every goal scored up to maximum of £10.
This week i have put £5 on there being more than 2.5 goals, and £5 on there being fewer than 2.5 goals, both at odds of 1.9, thus guaranteeing a return of £9.50, ie a loss of 50p. Cumulative bets are allowed to get to the £10.
Worst result is a loss of 50p if the game finishes 0-0, best result is a profit of £9.50 if there are five goals or more.
As i write, City score a penalty. Thank you, bob's lot.
Bobs lot have been running an offer for a few weeks whereby if you stake £10 (at odds of 1.2 or higher) on a prominent premiership game of their choosing, they will give you £2 in bet credits for every goal scored up to maximum of £10.
This week i have put £5 on there being more than 2.5 goals, and £5 on there being fewer than 2.5 goals, both at odds of 1.9, thus guaranteeing a return of £9.50, ie a loss of 50p. Cumulative bets are allowed to get to the £10.
Worst result is a loss of 50p if the game finishes 0-0, best result is a profit of £9.50 if there are five goals or more.
As i write, City score a penalty. Thank you, bob's lot.
Edit: and chelsea equalise
And I'm sure in the near future you won't be eligible for this promotion.
Probably not, but the TS and C's don't yet prohibit it. My early approach was a £10 single on fewer than the highest number of match goals with odds of 1.2 or better which gives slightly higher possible gains and losses, and that went ok too.
That accumulator now amounts to exactly even money so the true cash out value should be a minimum of £343.49. Unless you have a reason for taking the money, I would let it run because if the prices were right when you placed the bet (as they clearly were) then they look half a dozen plus times better now. I currently have more than 50 bets running with associated cash outs on some good, some bad and some pretty damn ugly bets but I don't intend to take any of them at this stage of the season because there's nothing more galling, to me anyway, than taking an early pay out only to then sit and watch the original bet come up.
Yeah, I will be leaving it running. I had staked a total £250 before the season on accys so am half tempted to take that and let everything else run free but I think it looks a decent chance of a good outcome so will leave it for now at least.
Bobs lot have been running an offer for a few weeks whereby if you stake £10 (at odds of 1.2 or higher) on a prominent premiership game of their choosing, they will give you £2 in bet credits for every goal scored up to maximum of £10.
This week i have put £5 on there being more than 2.5 goals, and £5 on there being fewer than 2.5 goals, both at odds of 1.9, thus guaranteeing a return of £9.50, ie a loss of 50p. Cumulative bets are allowed to get to the £10.
Worst result is a loss of 50p if the game finishes 0-0, best result is a profit of £9.50 if there are five goals or more.
As i write, City score a penalty. Thank you, bob's lot.
Edit: and chelsea equalise
Are you sure that the bet itself doesn’t have to be £10 on a single bet. Not 2 at £5…….
It's a good bet, but awful odds. Still well done, i was looking at a couple with May scoring and other things and wasn't even getting evens so i didn't bother, a shame they couldn't add cards in yesterday.
By awful i mean someone scoring two goals and a header should be like double in my opinion, but obviously they are low because of the opposition.
I was surprised how good the odds were for goals last night. I was on over 4.5 and over 5.5. Wish I’d had the balls for over 6.5 too (obvs).
What odds did you get? Prior to shortening massively at team news/few hours out from KO, -1 around 4/6 and -2 13/10ish I think I saw seemed fairly generous. Even the early 1/4 for a straight win felt like the proverbial printing money....
Suspect many were concerned from first leg to show the flair to place big. Didn't check but anyone know what we went to when drawing at HT?
I was surprised how good the odds were for goals last night. I was on over 4.5 and over 5.5. Wish I’d had the balls for over 6.5 too (obvs).
What odds did you get? Prior to shortening massively at team news/few hours out from KO, -1 around 4/6 and -2 13/10ish I think I saw seemed fairly generous. Even the early 1/4 for a straight win felt like the proverbial printing money....
Suspect many were concerned from first leg to show the flair to place big. Didn't check but anyone know what we went to when drawing at HT?
Harrogate are 5/2 to beat Swindon at home tomorrow and I can't see why the odds are so long. Swindon have lost their last five matches. I suppose I could research it further, but I've lumped on anyway. Seems like free money, but don't take my word for it. I've doubtless missed something significant like a huge injury crisis or suspensions kicking in.
Apart from their first game of the season where they lost at home to Forest Green everyone of their home games has been to a top 9 team, a very difficult run. 5/2 to beat Swindon looks decent to me.
Comments
We have been border line top half for 2/3 seasons now. Don't think 5/4 would tempt me sadly albeit I would view it as more likely than not. Would prefer at this stage 2/1 odds on accy of Gills top 7; Leeds top 6; Luton bottom 3 and Barnsley top half all of which I see as pretty much certainties.
My early approach was a £10 single on fewer than the highest number of match goals with odds of 1.2 or better which gives slightly higher possible gains and losses, and that went ok too.
Chesterfield 1/150
Wrexham 1/20
Derby 4/9
Leeds 1/14
Luton 2/9
That accumulator now amounts to exactly even money so the true cash out value should be a minimum of £343.49. Unless you have a reason for taking the money, I would let it run because if the prices were right when you placed the bet (as they clearly were) then they look half a dozen plus times better now. I currently have more than 50 bets running with associated cash outs on some good, some bad and some pretty damn ugly bets but I don't intend to take any of them at this stage of the season because there's nothing more galling, to me anyway, than taking an early pay out only to then sit and watch the original bet come up.
I had staked a total £250 before the season on accys so am half tempted to take that and let everything else run free but I think it looks a decent chance of a good outcome so will leave it for now at least.
Thank you.
By awful i mean someone scoring two goals and a header should be like double in my opinion, but obviously they are low because of the opposition.
Suspect many were concerned from first leg to show the flair to place big. Didn't check but anyone know what we went to when drawing at HT?
Didn't look likely at half time but 1-4 on the hour mark I was worried we would stroll the last 30 minutes but it all worked out in the end.
Apart from their first game of the season where they lost at home to Forest Green everyone of their home games has been to a top 9 team, a very difficult run. 5/2 to beat Swindon looks decent to me.