The General Election - June 8th 2017
Comments
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Diane Abbott's exit poll is now in...
LAB: 4032
CON: 4
LIBDEM: 0.333333...
GREEN: 102
UKIP: Minus 4 million
SNP: 8^-4
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I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.
Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.
Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?
Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".
It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.4 -
I can see this one being similar to 1992.colthe3rd said:Rob7Lee said:newyorkaddick said:Can't see Labour throwing away a 2-0 lead
I don't believe the exit poll yet no, 30k people it's based on isn't it? A quarter of the votes are postal.....colthe3rd said:
You're desperate to not believe the exit poll. Did you put your fingers in your ears when they explained the reason behind the Newcastle forecast?Rob7Lee said:First result in, exit poll was way out........ not such a large Labour majority as they expected.
Yeah sod those mathematicians, 30k is too few, what the hell do they know?1 -
Going to sleep now in hope of waking up in a few hours. Prediction for morning is exit poll has undercooked the Conservative vote, and Conservatives will just get there, or fall marginally short (but helped by DUP)3
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"Acting returning officer".
Makes me think of Blackadder and the rotten borough. Every single time.5 -
The woman on bbc now is tidy!1
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Sunderland Central
IND 305
LAB 25056
GRN 705
LD 1777
UKIP 2209
CON 150591 -
David Dimbleby?Chrissy\\\'s Army!! said:The woman on bbc now is tidy!
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Haha you have a point there. There's a lot of 'rounding errors' involved with it.colthe3rd said:Canters, I missed your edit. I was a Data Analyst previously but moved into something where I could be a bit more accurate with numbers. ;-)
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3-0 but again exit polls say should be better.2
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We are getting reports that Labour have scored a third goal at Sunderland, we go to Chris Kamara for the report:8
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Your theory would hold up except Vote Leave's campaign was profoundly negative and xenophobic, the only positive point they had was the £350m for the NHS.LuckyReds said:I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.
Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.
Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?
Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".
It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.0 -
Fiiish said:
We are getting reports that Labour have scored a third goal at Sunderland, we go to Chris Kamara for the report:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdu6MLcuHwc
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Very trueBournemouth Addick said:3-0 but again exit polls say should be better.
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At this point seems like the exit polls might have got it slightly wrong? On a sample size of 3 though Vs the exit poll 30,000!1
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Swing towards Conservative in Sunderland, Labour in Newcastle. It's down to the leave vote apparently.....Bournemouth Addick said:3-0 but again exit polls say should be better.
i think the postal vote will be the killer for this Poll, did they Poll Scotland, or did I miss hear that?0 - Sponsored links:
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Which was a lie!Fiiish said:
Your theory would hold up except Vote Leave's campaign was profoundly negative and xenophobic, the only positive point they had was the £350m for the NHS.LuckyReds said:I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.
Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.
Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?
Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".
It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.1 -
They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.
Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.0 -
Try working with Accountants, telling you a 50k difference is fine leaves me banging my head off the table.cantersaddick said:
Haha you have a point there. There's a lot of 'rounding errors' involved with it.colthe3rd said:Canters, I missed your edit. I was a Data Analyst previously but moved into something where I could be a bit more accurate with numbers. ;-)
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Tories seem to be chomping into the UKIP vote but Labour gaining votes due to high turnout.0
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And a third. Early signs showing the exit poll appearing to be a little wrong in this instance.cantersaddick said:Both of these safe Labour seats have been worse for Labour and better for the Tories than the exit poll.
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The latest result complicates things.0
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They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........Callumcafc said:They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.
Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.0 -
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You make a good point. Best give them a call to point out their massive oversight.Rob7Lee said:
They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........Callumcafc said:They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.
Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.2