For those non members reading, current reading from the CL members poll at top of forum: Cons 36%, Lab 31%, UKIP 14%, Lib D 5%, Green 4%, Other 1%, Spoilt 1%, No vote 4%
Alastair Campbell needs a serious reality check, saying Ed could form a government on the basis of the exit poll. He's nearly as departed from reality than some of Ed's most aggressive apologists!
He is pointing out constitional reality! Dave has to secure a majority for queen's speech... At that point any party can table a no confidence amendment. The Lib Dems are hurting badly from five years of propping up Dave and many think they are unlikely to go again?! There is no way Dave can go alone!
The reality is that we, the voters, have armed the politicians to cut a deal. But the politicians will be looking at 2020 as much as 2015 before deciding how to carve out a government.
Various people might scream "no fair" but the electoral system is unlikely to change.
I expect this will take a week or two to resolve...but first we need real results results, not polls.
Blimey. Too many people gloating way too early. If that exit pole is out by 15-20 seats and the Lib Dems lose most of their seats the Tories will not be able to form a government. Wait til later before cracking open the champagne there are a lot of variables yet.
Blimey. Too many people gloating way too early. If that exit pole is out by 15-20 seats and the Lib Dems lose most of their seats the Tories will not be able to form a government. Wait til later before cracking open the champagne there are a lot of variables yet.
DUP and ukip might have enough though. This is going to be one interesting couple of weeks.
If Millband has lost seats overall he surely must resign
In a traditional "last century" scenario then yes. But one should look at the numbers excluding Scotland as well as the fact that the Tories do not have an outright win. Let us not forget that Cameron has put our membership of the EU on the line. I think Ed has been poor but he has a role to play...
If Millband has lost seats overall he surely must resign
In a traditional "last century" scenario then yes. But one should look at the numbers excluding Scotland as well as the fact that the Tories do not have an outright win. Let us not forget that Cameron has put our membership of the EU on the line. I think Ed has been poor but he has a role to play...
if the exit polls are correct, yes they do. They are just slightly short of a majority. It only takes them to cut a deal with the DUP and UKIP or the lib dems to put them firmly in number 10 again.
People are saying the exit poll was a shock (which it was). I'll tell you what would be an even bigger shock - if the exit poll is out enough to give Ed a legitimate shot at power.
If Millband has lost seats overall he surely must resign
In a traditional "last century" scenario then yes. But one should look at the numbers excluding Scotland as well as the fact that the Tories do not have an outright win. Let us not forget that Cameron has put our membership of the EU on the line. I think Ed has been poor but he has a role to play...
Would agree if it werent for Cameron apparently adding seats
Comments
Dave has to secure a majority for queen's speech... At that point any party can table a no confidence amendment.
The Lib Dems are hurting badly from five years of propping up Dave and many think they are unlikely to go again?! There is no way Dave can go alone!
The reality is that we, the voters, have armed the politicians to cut a deal. But the politicians will be looking at 2020 as much as 2015 before deciding how to carve out a government.
Various people might scream "no fair" but the electoral system is unlikely to change.
I expect this will take a week or two to resolve...but first we need real results results, not polls.
Wait til later before cracking open the champagne there are a lot of variables yet.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/categories/politics/
BBC / ITV talking like their exit poll is Moses tablet of stone. You Gov sees it different. Results not clear yet.
Love him!
The Yougov poll is based on 6000 via the phone
Not sure if that classes as a spoilt paper in their poll?
But one should look at the numbers excluding Scotland as well as the fact that the Tories do not have an outright win.
Let us not forget that Cameron has put our membership of the EU on the line. I think Ed has been poor but he has a role to play...
ITV News Calendar @itvcalendar · 1h 1 hour ago
'Exit polls are notoriously unpredictable' says election expert @KateDommett #GE2015 #itvcal http://www.itv.com/news/calendar/story/2015-05-07/election-2015-expert-analysis-with-dr-kate-dommett/ …