Not long now before the World Cup starts with the first game next Thursday (5th October) with our game against NZ.
From a punting perspective, I'm really not sure if we have the balance or even know what our best team is to win the competition. Bairstow and Root have struggled recently with their form and our most potent bowler in these conditions, Adil Rashid, seems to have lost his "fear factor". For that reason, although I have had a saver on us in case all the stars do align, there isn't that much value with us (4.80 on Betfair). If we talk in terms of value, that walked out the door on the somewhat obvious favourites, India, a long time ago with them currently at 3.25. Australia are all over the place at present and no one ever really know which Pakistan team will turn up at any given time - they lost to India and an extremely average Sri Lankan side in the Asia Cup.
So, I have gone for the team that is know to man and beast as habitual "bottlers". Yes South Africa. They have lost Nortje and Magala which, at face value, does, especially in the case of the former, appear to be a massive blow. But, actually, Nortje hasn't been in great form in recent times and have managed without him. I have backed SA at 11.00 on Betfair to win it, at 9/2 to reach the final and an England/SA final (16/1) and India/SA final (14/1) - all with Skybet. Now watch SA bottle it in the semi-final!!!
Would be interested to hear other people's perspectives on our chances and who they fancy to win it.
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Comments
Because its such a long tournament I actually make England favourites because there is enough time to play the out of form players into form and the pressure will just crank up on India as the weeks tick by.
When you consider how much this England team have won over the last 8 years they still seem to have a lot to prove collectively and, for quite a few, individually.
Come July this group of England players will either go down in history as the greatest white ball team in history or one that went on a year too long.
Aussies have been in poor form, but then would be annoyingly them to turn it on in rhe tournament.
I'll go India winning, England, Pakistan, New Zealand the other Semi finalists.
Bairstow
Malan
Root
Stokes
Buttler
livingstone
Moeen
Curran
Woakes (rotate in Topley)
Rashid
Wood (rotate in Atkinson)
But having Curran at 8 and Woakes 9 means they could maybe leave out Moeen and pick another frontline bowler. I think that will depend on conditions as if it’s spinning then Moeen will probably be just as much a frontline option as an extra pacer
With 7 bowling option Willey wouldn't have to bowl his 10 overs, which I think is an issue for him, but either of them would give you more penetrantion with the new ball. With Rashid and Wood at 10 and 11 you shouldn't need Curran's better batting either. Saying that Willey can bat as well.
Afghanistan squad: Hashmatullah Shahidi (c), Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Ibrahim Zadran, Riaz Hassan, Rahmat Shah, Najibullah Zadran, Mohammad Nabi, Ikram Alikhil, Azmatullah Omarzai, Rashid Khan, Mujeeb ur Rahman, Noor Ahmad, Fazalhaq Farooqi, Abdul Rahman, Naveen ul Haq.
Australia squad: Pat Cummins (c), Steve Smith, Alex Carey, Josh Inglis, Sean Abbott, Cameron Green, Josh Hazlewood, Travis Head, Marnus Labuschagne, Mitch Marsh, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, David Warner, Adam Zampa, Mitchell Starc.
Bangladesh squad: Shakib Al Hasan (c), Litton Kumer Das, Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Najmul Hossain Shanto (vc), Tawhid Hridoy, Mushfiqur Rahim, Mahmudullah Riyad, Mehidy Hasan Miraz, Nasum Ahmed, Shak Mahedi Hasan, Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, Hasan Mahmud, Shoriful Islam, Tanzim Hasan Sakib.
England squad: Jos Buttler (c), Moeen Ali, Gus Atkinson, Jonny Bairstow, Sam Curran, Liam Livingstone, Dawid Malan, Adil Rashid, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes, Reece Topley, David Willey, Mark Wood, Chris Woakes.
India squad: Rohit Sharma (c), Hardik Pandya (vc), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul, Ravindra Jadeja, Shardul Thakur, Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Shami, Ravichandran Ashwin, Ishan Kishan, Suryakumar Yadav.
Netherlands squad: Scott Edwards (c), Max O'Dowd, Bas de Leede, Vikram Singh, Teja Nidamanuru, Paul van Meekeren, Colin Ackermann, Roelof van der Merwe, Logan van Beek, Aryan Dutt, Ryan Klein, Wesley Barresi, Saqib Zulfiqar, Shariz Ahmad, Sybrand Engelbrecht.
New Zealand squad: Kane Williamson (c), Trent Boult, Mark Chapman, Devon Conway, Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry, Tom Latham, Daryl Mitchell, Jimmy Neesham, Glenn Phillips, Rachin Ravindra, Mitch Santner, Ish Sodhi, Tim Southee, Will Young.
Pakistan squad: Babar Azam (c), Shadab Khan, Fakhar Zaman, Imam-ul-Haq, Abdullah Shafique, Mohammad Rizwan, Saud Shakeel, Iftikhar Ahmed, Salman Ali Agha, Mohammad Nawaz, Usama Mir, Haris Rauf, Hasan Ali, Shaheen Afridi, Mohammad Wasim.
South Africa squad: Temba Bavuma (c), Gerald Coetzee, Quinton de Kock, Reeza Hendricks, Marco Jansen, Heinrich Klaasen, Keshav Maharaj, Aiden Markram, David Miller, Lungi Ngidi, Andile Phehlukwayo, Kagiso Rabada, Tabraiz Shamsi, Rassie van der Dussen, Lizaad Williams.
The biggest divergence in the teams will be the fast bowlers just so they manage their work load.
Forget that about clues for the possible line up for the first game - it appears that we will be playing as many as possible in the match
32-2 off 6 overs
Have to say some of the England players look to be really struggling in either the heat or being under the weather. Or a combination of both.