The General Election - June 8th 2017
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LAB up 9,000 in remain voting Newcastle East.0
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Newcastle East
LAB 28127
GRN 755
CON 8866
UKIP 1315
LD 25742 -
I've had people suggesting that writing off 100mill differences.. can't work that out...colthe3rd said:
Try working with Accountants, telling you a 50k difference is fine leaves me banging my head off the table.cantersaddick said:
Haha you have a point there. There's a lot of 'rounding errors' involved with it.colthe3rd said:Canters, I missed your edit. I was a Data Analyst previously but moved into something where I could be a bit more accurate with numbers. ;-)
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There's been a fourth goal at Newcastle, but for who?4 -
Swindon North
GRN 858
LAB 21096
UKIP 1564
CON 29431
LD 1962
54% CON, 38% LAB
+3% CON, +11% LAB
3.7% from CON to LAB1 -
Depends, there were 3 different Leave campaigns as far as I remember.Fiiish said:
Your theory would hold up except Vote Leave's campaign was profoundly negative and xenophobic, the only positive point they had was the £350m for the NHS.LuckyReds said:I did wonder today whether CCHQ had made the Brexit mistake again: negative campaigning.
Remain campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, impending war and poverty should we vote leave. We voted leave.
Conservatives campaigned on a platform of doom and gloom, with an inability to defend ourselves and a poor economy if we don't vote for Theresa May. Theresa May is facing a reduced majority and no overall control...?
Contrast that to the positivity of Corbyn and Leave, regardless of your views on them, which largely focused on "We can make things better for you.".
It makes May's campaign even more ridiculous.
It's not really how I remember the coverage being, albeit I remember Farage's splinter campaign being quite pessimistic and xenophobic.0 -
Swindon is veeeeeeeeery interesting.
UKIP vote going to Labour.1 - Sponsored links:
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First seat in the South shows 3.7% swing to Labour.0
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Better than expected result for Labour in Swindon North.3
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The exit poll deniers will be interesting now.0
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Didn't say they had made an oversight did I?colthe3rd said:
You make a good point. Best give them a call to point out their massive oversight.Rob7Lee said:
They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........Callumcafc said:They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.
Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.
What wager we having on it being wrong if you are so sure it's spot on? All for charity of course.
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4-1 now. The comeback is on.3
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I'll wager that their prediction for Tories is within 100 seats.Rob7Lee said:
Didn't say they had made an oversight did I?colthe3rd said:
You make a good point. Best give them a call to point out their massive oversight.Rob7Lee said:
They assume they follow the polling station votes (or I think it was they change in the polling station vote) A lot of the elderly postal vote apparently........Callumcafc said:They did say that the postal vote was somewhat accounted for in the prediction.
Will be interesting to see how the leave/remain distribution unfolds during the night.
What wager we having on it being wrong if you are so sure it's spot on? All for charity of course.0 -
Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...2
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Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?cantersaddick said:Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
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Swing to Labour in Swindon complicated things again.1
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Early doors but I feel confident in saying that @newyorkaddick modelling is toast that got stuck in the toaster4
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Going to bed now - expect to wake up in either a socialist utopia or a right wing horror story. Probably it will just be Friday and the trains will be shite as normal.7
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Well, you can't always get what you want...Huskaris said:
Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?cantersaddick said:Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
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Newcastle swung to Labour as well, just not as much as expected.Huskaris said:
Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?cantersaddick said:Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
The only difference they drew between Newcastle and Sunderland was remain and leave voters...0 -
Sausage0
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Is that Johnny Vegas?PragueAddick said:1 -
Newcastle heavily student drivenHuskaris said:
Very interesting, could it be some sort of North south divide? Without wanting to sound ignorant can anyone explain the differences between towns like Newcastle/Sunderland and Swindon?cantersaddick said:Swing to Labour this time round. Interesting. Perhaps exit poll wasn't so far off...
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LAB hold Sunderland West. Don't have the figures.1
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What we need is Bojo as PM - the posh version of Trump with equally ridiculous hair.2
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Of course things get interesting (relative term) as soon as I switch the telly off.SELR_addicks said:Swindon is veeeeeeeeery interesting.
UKIP vote going to Labour.
I noticed that in the north east Ukip vote went to Conservatives about 2:1. I don't know what, if anything, a trend like that would mean other than a irritatingly frequent use of the portmanteau "RedKip."0
