Official Grand National 2014 Thread
Comments
-
Written in the stars PeanutsPeanutsMolloy said:If you don't like a stat-based system for picking your GN selections, try this one....................another vote for the Dude
http://www.leamingtonobserver.co.uk/2014/04/02/news-Hatton-Adventure-World's-wooly-jumpers-predict-Grand-National-winner-101035.html0 -
written in the baas surely..................[groan]Absurdistan said:
Written in the stars PeanutsPeanutsMolloy said:If you don't like a stat-based system for picking your GN selections, try this one....................another vote for the Dude
http://www.leamingtonobserver.co.uk/2014/04/02/news-Hatton-Adventure-World's-wooly-jumpers-predict-Grand-National-winner-101035.html
......it's got to be nonsense anyway because the Colbert Station sheep with the AP looky-likey managed to complete0 -
Cambridge mathematician using a formula he has devised has also picked out Monbeg Dude0
-
If it's William Hartson, he was being touted around last year - by William Hill if I recall - and he picked out Seabass then.smiffyboy said:Cambridge mathematician using a formula he has devised has also picked out Monbeg Dude
I don't like to diss a fellow nut but it looked a bit bonkers - something to do with frequency of winners whose names started with particular letters of the alphabet.....................I prefer the sheep.0 -
William Hartson - former British Chess champion and regular on Channel 4 Googlebox.PeanutsMolloy said:
If it's William Hartson, he was being touted around last year - by William Hill if I recall - and he picked out Seabass then.smiffyboy said:Cambridge mathematician using a formula he has devised has also picked out Monbeg Dude
I don't like to diss a fellow nut but it looked a bit bonkers - something to do with frequency of winners whose names started with particular letters of the alphabet.....................I prefer the sheep.
I understand the Grand National thing was just a bit of fun.0 -
I see the reports say that after the Seabass flop last year, he's revised his formula to place more emphasis on a horse's form and, err, the owner's and trainer's names...................hmmmmm.1
-
That's the fella peanuts0
-
What does Taxi Lad fancy as 1,2,3 forecast?2
-
Richard Johnson must surely win the GN afore he retires .. a little e/w on Balthazar King (and I mean a little bit)0
-
great horse and great jockey would love them to win but they won't unless its on the good side going wise which looks unlikely.Lincsaddick said:Richard Johnson must surely win the GN afore he retires .. a little e/w on Balthazar King (and I mean a little bit)
0 -
Sponsored links:
-
Only just tuned into this thread so I hope I've read the abridged highlights correctly. Going all out with Peanuts' model. £5.00 e/w Bet Vic 6 places NRNB on Teaforthree, Monbeg Dude, Chance Du Roy, Mountainous, Swing Bill and Shakalakaboomboom.
Fingers crossed!0 -
Interesting stat showing how much easier the Nat fences are now.............
Fallers
2008 -11
2009 -12
2010 -11
2011 -11
2012 -11
2013 - 2
0 -
There were also 6 URs and 1 Refusal last time. Still in total well down and no doubt the fences are not as formidable.Absurdistan said:Interesting stat showing how much easier the Nat fences are now.............
Fallers
2008 -11
2009 -12
2010 -11
2011 -11
2012 -11
2013 - 2
Not much change seen in number of finishers however:
2008 - 15
2009 - 17
2010 - 14
2011 - 19
2012 - 16
2013 - 170 -
Yer I backed the same, have the first 2 just as winners though... May do a (forecast/reverse forecast ?) on thoseExiled_Addick said:Only just tuned into this thread so I hope I've read the abridged highlights correctly. Going all out with Peanuts' model. £5.00 e/w Bet Vic 6 places NRNB on Teaforthree, Monbeg Dude, Chance Du Roy, Mountainous, Swing Bill and Shakalakaboomboom.
Fingers crossed!0 -
Strewth. Much appreciate the faith Exiled. Hope my model doesn't choose this year to go into meltdown.Exiled_Addick said:Only just tuned into this thread so I hope I've read the abridged highlights correctly. Going all out with Peanuts' model. £5.00 e/w Bet Vic 6 places NRNB on Teaforthree, Monbeg Dude, Chance Du Roy, Mountainous, Swing Bill and Shakalakaboomboom.
Fingers crossed!
TBH, I scale my bets because of the range of odds. My aim every year is to have 2 making the frame (hopefully one coming home first of course) but if the stakes are level a T43 win (alone) would only be a breakeven with 5 others on the slip, which would be a shame.
On the other hand, if Mountainous does the biz................................or if Bill does a Foinavon!.......................
Best of luck.0 -
Actually I'm getting a bit pessimistic about Bill getting a run. Can't recall when all top 40 at Monday's confirmations ended up being the final field.
By now, you'd normally be hearing of "doubtfuls" for declarations but there is a deafening silence. Ground looks like it will be in the middle ground to accommodate good (Balthazar King) and softer (Mountainous and Hawkes Point) ground preferences.
Maybe reliant on a late niggle for one of them.
If he doesn't get in at today's decs, he's got until 9am tomorrow.0 -
Going stick reading on the GN course last evening was 6.3. Last year's reading on the Saturday for the GN was 6.0 so ground slightly better now than then. Suggests more Good than Good-to-Soft.
If, this afternoon, the Foxhunters clock 5m30s or thereabouts that would suggest Good ground or around 5m45s would suggest GS. If the official description of GS(Gd places) is right, the winner should be finishing in about 5m40s.0 -
Yet again I'm astounded by your knowledge peanuts.
I have to admit to repeating many of the facts in this thread around the pub table, the result being my mates think I'm an absolute crank.
Christ knows what your friends and family think of your obsession.2 -
Cheers PBS,
Most of my friends have an interest in my book, tbh, and while I fully expect Mrs Molloy to summon the men in white coats one of these days, her annual Jewels of the Med cruise funded by Paddy and Victor has sufficed to date. Mind you, these Caribbean Islands brochures that appeared on the kitchen table yesterday were a nasty shock.4 -
Long Run is surely too small to win a national.0
-
Sponsored links:
-
We used some of our money from lotto wins @ work to do the following:
Way Balthazar King @ 20/1
Shakalakaboomboom @ 25/1
Burton Port @ 20/1
Long Run @ 14/1
Chance Du Roy @ 33/1
The Rainbow Hunter @ 28/1
Lion Na Bearnai @ 28/1 (spanner picked this one)
All £5 e/w expect TRH which is £10 e/w
0 -
haha - this applies to me as wellpaulbaconsarnie said:Yet again I'm astounded by your knowledge peanuts.
I have to admit to repeating many of the facts in this thread around the pub table, the result being my mates think I'm an absolute crank.
Christ knows what your friends and family think of your obsession.
great stuff @peanuts0 -
Bet365 now offering to refund half of e/w stakes up to £125 on bets placed before noon on Saturday.
Nrnb and 5 places.0 -
Nice article about former GN winners in retirement.
http://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/Sport/Sport-headlines/Where-are-they-now-The-Grand-National-winners-of-yesteryear-20140403070100.htm0 -
I thought it was next Saturday.
How many of us are going to stay downstairs for the second half?!!0 -
RP reports Swing Bill is the last one to make the cut at the 10am decs today. Don't yet know which one is scratched to make room for him.0
-
Cheers Eltham. Too kind....though the proof of the pudding..... (of course)Elthamaddick said:
haha - this applies to me as wellpaulbaconsarnie said:Yet again I'm astounded by your knowledge peanuts.
I have to admit to repeating many of the facts in this thread around the pub table, the result being my mates think I'm an absolute crank.
Christ knows what your friends and family think of your obsession.
great stuff @peanuts0 -
Interesting that Paul Moloney has apparently opted to ride Alvarado and not One In A Milan.0
-
Lost Glory is scratched so Swing Bill gets in !0
-
Suggest backing Alvarado "place only" then ;-)PeanutsMolloy said:Interesting that Paul Moloney has apparently opted to ride Alvarado and not One In A Milan.
1
