Haven't managed to follow this... Slipped off the radar. Who are the winners for the GN @PeanutsMolloy?
I'll do a summary (if you're interested) tomorrow but, in a nutshell, assuming that reserve #4 (Vintage Clouds) doesn't line up (unlikely), these are the 6 carrying my shillings (all each way 5 places 1/4 odds, though you can get 6 places 1/5 odds with some bookies if you prefer). I backed them all at 50~125/1 but I’m afraid prices have shortened massively for some. In race card order:
Raz De Maree (best price currently 33/1) I Just Know (25/1) Baie Des Iles (16/1) Houblon Des Obeaux (50/1) Milansbar (33/1) Final Nudge (66/1)
Time of Foxhunters 5m 49 secs - broadly consistent with official going of Soft. Going Stick reading today for the GN course at 10am was 4.3. Jockies reporting it heavy around the Canal Turn, as expected.
Aintree don't want the ground any faster for safety reasons.
I'm on the Peanuts 6, and I see there are a few "good causes" on the forum at the moment - so fingers crossed for the selections and a share of the loot.
Haven't managed to follow this... Slipped off the radar. Who are the winners for the GN @PeanutsMolloy?
I'll do a summary (if you're interested) tomorrow but, in a nutshell, assuming that reserve #4 (Vintage Clouds) doesn't line up (unlikely), these are the 6 carrying my shillings (all each way 5 places 1/4 odds, though you can get 6 places 1/5 odds with some bookies if you prefer). I backed them all at 50~125/1 but I’m afraid prices have shortened massively for some. In race card order:
Raz De Maree (best price currently 33/1) I Just Know (25/1) Baie Des Iles (16/1) Houblon Des Obeaux (50/1) Milansbar (33/1) Final Nudge (66/1)
Only slightly up on lucky 31, 3 places out of 5. Shame Treble got 2 / 3 one running tomorrow Ms Parfois, EW but if they can win would be decent as got a single on it @ 7/1 and also treble would come in, 2 places with Doitforthevillage @11 & Clan Des Obeaux @ 16. Small return on Doit for single too so not a bad day overall but could be decent if Ms P can do a win tomorrow.
Lucy Verasamy just predicted the going will be soft
As CE said above, the going is NEVER soft when "Juicy Lucy" is about!
Well chaps, thanks again. As with previous years, by reading this thread, I have managed to convince a number of unsuspecting fools that I know something about horse racing...
Haven't managed to follow this... Slipped off the radar. Who are the winners for the GN @PeanutsMolloy?
I'll do a summary (if you're interested) tomorrow but, in a nutshell, assuming that reserve #4 (Vintage Clouds) doesn't line up (unlikely), these are the 6 carrying my shillings (all each way 5 places 1/4 odds, though you can get 6 places 1/5 odds with some bookies if you prefer). I backed them all at 50~125/1 but I’m afraid prices have shortened massively for some. In race card order:
Raz De Maree (best price currently 33/1) I Just Know (25/1) Baie Des Iles (16/1) Houblon Des Obeaux (50/1) Milansbar (33/1) Final Nudge (66/1)
Thanks PM, fascinating thread again this year, and thanks to all the other significant posters. I got on HDO at 125’s and Final Nudge at 80’s. Kicking myself I did not go BDI earlier as it sounds very promising, it and the others above I got at at a fraction over the prices above.
On Bet365 half stake E/W offer am I correct in saying I can effectively double all their odds? Ie if I wanted to go £5 e/w on a horse and do that now, then what I actually do is go £10 e/w and when they refund me the £10 I can withdraw it straight away?
Say the top six horses all come in with SP of 20/1 and you've staked 10 quid e/w on all six of them.
The bookie paying 5 places at 1/4 will pay out: £270 on the winner, £60, £60, £60, £60 for a total of £510 (minus six lots of £20 so +£390 net)
The bookie paying 6 places at 1/5 will pay out: £260 on the winner, £50, £50, £50, £50, £50 for a total of £510 (minus six lots of £20 so +£390 net)
You're getting a tenner less return per place at six places but all the money that's been saved is being paid out on sixth. I think it works out slightly differently at different odds. I used 20/1 because it divides nicely with 4 and 5. :-)
It really depends on the win price. A lot will much shorter to compensate for offering extra places.
You can work out expected value from betfair win and place prices. But as a rough guide, use oddschecker and if place going extra place is top price it will be value
got my 6 at the ready, cheers all for helping me with some of the selections, let hope come 5.30ish tomorrow they all come home safe and we've won some coin.
annibale fly ( doesnt tick many boxes but won me money on the gold cup ) win @ 11/1 seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1 houblon des obeux ew @ 100/1 chase the spud ew @ 66/1 seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1 regal encore ew @ 28/1
got my 6 at the ready, cheers all for helping me with some of the selections, let hope come 5.30ish tomorrow they all come home safe and we've won some coin.
annibale fly ( doesnt tick many boxes but won me money on the gold cup ) win @ 11/1 seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1 houblon des obeux ew @ 100/1 chase the spud ew @ 66/1 seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1 regal encore ew @ 28/1
Good team and best of luck. He's certainly a persuasive fella that @Addick Addict
Comments
Raz De Maree (best price currently 33/1)
I Just Know (25/1)
Baie Des Iles (16/1)
Houblon Des Obeaux (50/1)
Milansbar (33/1)
Final Nudge (66/1)
Jockies reporting it heavy around the Canal Turn, as expected.
I'm on the Peanuts 6, and I see there are a few "good causes" on the forum at the moment - so fingers crossed for the selections and a share of the loot.
Well done @killer kish
If he's going to be better over jumps then he's definitely going on the horse tracker!
Treble got 2 / 3 one running tomorrow Ms Parfois, EW but if they can win would be decent as got a single on it @ 7/1 and also treble would come in, 2 places with Doitforthevillage @11 & Clan Des Obeaux @ 16.
Small return on Doit for single too so not a bad day overall but could be decent if Ms P can do a win tomorrow.
Trainer adamant she will be better over hurdles/fences,whatever she does in bumpers is a bonus!
And yes that price is correct Starinn
Smaller than hurdles
Well chaps, thanks again. As with previous years, by reading this thread, I have managed to convince a number of unsuspecting fools that I know something about horse racing...
My picks are now on. Good luck to all.
Good luck all.
On Bet365 half stake E/W offer am I correct in saying I can effectively double all their odds? Ie if I wanted to go £5 e/w on a horse and do that now, then what I actually do is go £10 e/w and when they refund me the £10 I can withdraw it straight away?
The bookie paying 5 places at 1/4 will pay out: £270 on the winner, £60, £60, £60, £60 for a total of £510 (minus six lots of £20 so +£390 net)
The bookie paying 6 places at 1/5 will pay out: £260 on the winner, £50, £50, £50, £50, £50 for a total of £510 (minus six lots of £20 so +£390 net)
You're getting a tenner less return per place at six places but all the money that's been saved is being paid out on sixth. I think it works out slightly differently at different odds. I used 20/1 because it divides nicely with 4 and 5. :-)
You can work out expected value from betfair win and place prices. But as a rough guide, use oddschecker and if place going extra place is top price it will be value
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2657621
annibale fly ( doesnt tick many boxes but won me money on the gold cup ) win @ 11/1
seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1
houblon des obeux ew @ 100/1
chase the spud ew @ 66/1
seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1
regal encore ew @ 28/1